Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 9 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 12 May 2026 at 20:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 9 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 26 April 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 12 at 3:06PM EDT until May 12 at 4:30PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
An estimated 920,297 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- September 3, 2026 · score 37 · 10.6 km
- August 28, 2026 · score 37 · 15.0 km
- August 6, 2026 · score 52 · 15.5 km
How we know
Confirmed by 5 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 91 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 48 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 91% |
| Coordinates | 27.9677, -83.0521 |
| Nearest City | Clearwater (25 km) |
| Population Exposed | 920.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-12T19:06:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.54825d58608c0fb89f9313de950451c2 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Tampa Bay waters; Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM; Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM; Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM; Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued May 12 at 3:06PM EDT until May 12 at 4:30PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| Expires | 2026-05-12T16:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.54825d58608c0fb89f9313de950451c2abb13f8d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c92a0b5881a26b50387d7b24655f8cf4a0f5c4cc.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | T |
| Iem City | 1 SSW Hudson |
| Iem County | Pasco |
| Iem State | FL |
| Iem Wfo | TBW |
| Iem Remark | Roof damage reported by Pasco Co Dispatch. Possible tornado. |
| Google News RssFeed | weather |
| Google News SourceName | Tampa Bay Times |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_M_28.370_-82.680_1778610600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778610600000,"latitude":28.37,"longitude":-82.68},{"id":"iem_M_28.360_-82.710_1778610540000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778610540000,"latitude":28.36,"longitude":-82.71},{"id":"iem_T_28.350_-82.700_1778611020000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1778611020000,"latitude":28.35,"longitude":-82.7},{"id":"gnews_weather_494057_232","source":"google_news","severity":"medium","severityValue":40,"timestamp":1778608392000,"latitude":27.95,"longitude":-82.46}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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